Research log

Every new finding, update, correction and withdrawal, newest first. Nothing is removed from this page.

1. 2026-10-03

   Research section restructured: one page per finding, a method page and this log. Team added. Headline hit rates flatter updated with the room study.

2. 2026-09-30

   Room study. Outside value, calls made very close to the target carry no edge in any market or session. Calls with real room confirmed an edge in 3 of 5 market-sessions on the held-back year. Now being tested forward. Where an edge survives.

3. 2026-09-30

   Tested an alternative definition of the point of control. No measurable improvement. We kept the original.

4. 2026-09-29

   Withdrawn: volume as a magnet to any level. An input had used later trades, and the honest re-test did not pass. What we withdrew.

5. 2026-09-28

   Forward log started. From here, results are logged as they happen.

6. 2026-09-28

   Between two balance areas: confirmed on the held-back year. Volume along the route back met its pass rule, written in advance. Volume pulls price toward it, The profile shape is the map.

7. 2026-09-27

   Outside value: study concluded and confirmed on the held-back year. Our own starting hypothesis, that surplus volume outside value means escape, was reversed.